How the rotation shapes up with Myers

The Astros squeezed a few more bucks together and have reached an agreement wiht free-agent pitcher Brett Myers, pending a physical. That’s key, considering he missed most of last season after undergoing surgery on his hip.

If Myers is healthy for the entire season, this could be a key signing for the Astros. Myers will likely slide into the No. 3 spot in the rotation behind Roy Oswalt and Wandy Rodriguez, leaving Bud Norris, Felipe Paulino and Brian Moehler battling for two spots. I have to think Norris’ performance, youth and high ceiling give him a spot, and Moehler’s veteran presence and experience puts him ahead of Paulino.

Paulino has the stuff to succeed and could very well pitch his way into the rotation in the spring, forcing the Astros to slot him somewhere. That is a problem general manager Ed Wade and manager Brad Mills would love to have.

So as it stands, here is what the Astros’ rotation could look like once they get Myers in the fold.

Roy Oswalt, RHP, 32 years old (8-6, 4.12 ERA in 30 starts last year) – Oswalt, who needs only seven wins to tie the club career record, has been slowed by back problems the past three seasons, forcing the Astros to shut him down last year in mid-September. He still has the ability to be one of the best in the game if he remains healthy.

Wandy Rodriguez, LHP, 31 years old (14-12, 3.02 ERA in 33 starts) — The Astros can only hope Rodriguez’s coming-out party wasn’t a one-year show. He led the team in wins, starts, innings pitched, strikeouts and quality starts (23). He pitched like an ace for most of the season.

Brett Myers, RHP, 29 years old (4-3, 4.84 ERA in 18 games, including 10 starts) — He missed most of the season because of hip surgery, but he’s a hoss when healthy. He started at least 30 games in each season from 2003-2008, with the exception of 2007 when he was moved to closer and saved 21 games. He’s a significant upgrade to the rotation.

Bud Norris, RHP, 24 years old (6-3, 3.53 ERA in 11 games, including 10 starts) — Coming off an impressive rookie season in which he won his first three and final three starts, Norris could be poised for a breakthrough season.

Brian Moehler, RHP, 38 years old (8-12, 5.47 ERA in 29 starts) – The Astros picked up his $3 million option for 2010. He has the occasional rough outing, but he takes the ball every fifth day and is a workhorse. Excluding his first two and his last two starts, he was 8-8 wiht a 4.25 ERA in his other 25 starts.

Other candidates — RHP Felipe Paulino (3-11, 6.27 ERA), RHP Yorman Bazardo (1-3, 7.88 ERA), LHP Wesley Wright (3-4, 5.44 ERA as a reliever), RHP Wilton Lopez (0-2, 8.38 ERA).

 

9 Comments

Just wondering, is Myers goes on the 40 man roster or is he a Minor League signing? I remember it being said that the 40 man roster was full and all other signings would be limited to Minor League deals with invitations to ST.

Sorry, I meant going on the 40 man. I need to wake up.

When they actually make it official, the Astros would need to make room on the 40-man roster. The Astros waited for the market to drop on Myers and got him for less than half of what he made last year. They decided to stretch the budget a little more to get him in the fold.

Thanks for the super fast response!

I have to say that I like this signing. He’s certainly younger and has better upside than Hampton did, and the price was quite reasonable as well. My only concern is where this puts Paulino; they NEED to give him his shot. I like Moehler, but giving him a rotation spot over a guy with Paulino’s upside would be a huge mistake. Mo had success as a long reliever in his first year with us in 2007, they need to slot him back there and feel comfortable knowing they have a solid veteran like him ready for any spot starts that come up, or if Norris or Paulino struggle heavily. Paulino needs to get his shot though, a real shot, and not be jerked around like so many have in the past (Nieve, Chris Burke etc.)

I like Moehler, but giving him a rotation spot over a guy with Paulino’s upside would be a huge mistake. Mo had success as a long reliever in his first year with us in 2007, they need to slot him back there and feel comfortable knowing they have a solid veteran like him ready for any spot starts that come up, or if Norris or Paulino struggle heavily.Exactly, I agree 100% with this. Look, even if Moehler would perform better as the fifth starter–which is a BIG if–Brian Moehler is not the future of the Houston Astros.Paulino has enough upside that he may very well fit into the rotation for years to come. He’s too old for the minors, he’s done there and the only place for him is here with the big league team. Don’t let him languish away his prime years in the bullpen, throw him out there and let him develop. Hopefully Brad Mills is smart enough to see this too.

The Myers signing is great if he (and Oswalt, for that matter) can muster up enough health to finish the season. I must say I’m not a huge fan of Paulino or Moehler (or Ortiz, though he’s gone now thank goodness) for the 5th spot. What I was excited about originally was signing young up-and-comer Ryan Sadowski to the rotation, only to find out that he’s off to Asia for a year. If he stays with our organization, look forward to some great talent if/when he comes back. I sure hope we can find another young gun like Norris to give our rotation a third future ace, behind him and Wandy.

“”What I was excited about originally was signing young up-and-comer Ryan Sadowski to the rotation”

ottokahn86, Sadowski has FAR less upside than Paulino does. Paulino has dreamy stuff and has torn up AAA in the past, while showing flashes of brilliance at the big league level. Much of his downfall last year was due to terrible, terrible luck (.368 BAbip, 16.9% HR/FB rate). These numbers are not sustainable, and almost always average out. Just considering those numbers to normalize next year, he could easily shave a full 1.50 off of his ERA, perhaps even more.

I sure do like this deal… We get a bulldog #3 pitcher with good stuff who isn’t over 35 years old! We get him at a severe discount from what he previously made and from what most expected him to make. We all complained that the staff needed some help…and, well…here it is: Brett Myers! If he gets injured or underperforms, it’s no big deal because it’s a one year deal for relatively low money. Low risk/ high reward. I like it!

On another note, I don’t trust Felipe at all to be the 5th starter. I’d love for him to prove me wrong in ST because if he ever does put it together he’ll be pretty darn good.

With Paulino in the 5th spot I would feel very comfortable with Moehler in long relief/ spot starts (as others have suggested) based on his previous success in that same role. Hopefully things will work out as planned, for once!

It remains to be seen if Wandy’s 2009 was a glimpse of things to come or just a a cruel abberation that set high expectations for our little guy. Hopefully, for the whole organization, it was the begining of something beautiful! If so, we could be looking at one of the better rotations in the NL. I mean, we should fully expect Roy to be out for blood this year, so to speak. That, combined with Wandy, Myers, an improving Bud, and anyone in the 5-hole…we could be in for a good show.

Just like every team this time of year, we have a lot of “if’s”, but there seem to be fewer than last season…which is surprising. Our pitching SHOULD be better and our defense is going to be a LOT better w/o Miggy at SS and the possibility of Castro behind the plate.

Could be fun!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 74 other followers

%d bloggers like this: